As the campaign heats up during the weeks before Canada’s October 19 election, voters are being asked to decide how to vote on the same basis an interviewer uses to decide who to hire: look at the candidate’s track record. Then ask yourself, have they done the right things in the right way? After all, past performance is the best predictor of future performance.
Stephen Harper is running on the Conservative’s track record during nine years in government, while the other parties are basing their campaigns on attacking that track record. It’s either vote Conservative and get more of the same or vote NDP, Liberal or Green to get something different.
The other parties also claim their own track records as evidence that they should be elected as Canada’s next government. Meanwhile, the Conservatives point to those track records for reasons not to vote for any of them.
When they hire, managers should ask themselves whether the candidate’s experience is recent enough and acquired under sufficiently similar circumstance to be a reliable basis on which to predict the individual’s performance if hired. Given how quickly workplaces change, recent experience is a better indicator of what he will do now, than experience gained 10 years ago. And experience in settings similar to your workplace is more valid than experience from an environment that’s quite unlike it.
Luckily for managers, they control who they will interview. The people who managers invite to interviews usually have had recent experience under similar circumstances. Voters, meanwhile, are disadvantaged when comparing the parties’ track records. The last Liberal government was defeated in 2006, which is not particularly recent, and the NDP has never held power federally. The Conservatives have recent experience as the federal government, but have they done what you want your government to have done and have they done it in a way you would want them to have done it?